MARKET TRENDS - JULY 2018

Housing price bubble chatter has increased this summer, as market observers attempt to predict the next residential real estate shift. It is too early to predict a change from higher prices and lower inventory, but the common markers that caused the last housing cooldown are present. Wages are up but not at the same pace as home prices, leading to the kind of affordability concerns that can cause fewer sales at lower prices. At the same time, demand is still outpacing what is available for sale in many markets.

New Listings in Staten Island increased 3.4 percent to 604. Pending Sales were up 9.8 percent to 436. Inventory levels fell 1.0 percent to 1,984 units.

Prices continued to gain traction. The Median Sales Price increased 11.1 percent to $561,000. Days on Market was up 4.6 percent to 76 days. Sellers were encouraged as Months Supply of Inventory was down 5.9 percent to 5.1 months.

Consumer spending on home goods and renovations are up, and more people are entering the workforce. Employed people spending money is good for the housing market. Meanwhile, GDP growth was 4.1% in the second quarter, the strongest showing since 2014. Housing starts are down, but that is more reflective of low supply than anything else. With a growing economy, solid lending practices and the potential for improved inventory from new listing and building activity, market balance is more likely than a bubble.

 

Monthly Indicators
+14.2% + 11.1% -1.0%
One-Year Change in Closed Sales One-Year Change in Median Sales Price One-Year Change in Inventory
Click here for full report about the entire Staten Island housing market.

Click links below for detailed housing information on the different geographic areas of Staten Island:

East Shore – Includes data from Arrochar, Grasmere, Old Town, South Beach, Dongan Hills,  Dongan Hills below Hylan, Grant City and Midland Beach

Gateway – Includes data from New Dorp, Oakwood, Oakwood Beach, Oakwood Heights, Bay Terrace, Great Kills and Eltingville

Greater St. George –  Includes data from Ft. Wadsworth, Concord, Shore Acres, Rosebank, Clifton, Stapleton, Thomkinsville, St. George, Ward Hill, Park Hill and Grymes Hill

Heartland – Includes data from Willowbrook, Manor Heights, Bulls Head, New Springville , Heartland Village, Travis and LaTourette.

North Shore – Includes data from New Brighton, Snug Harbor, Livingston, Randall Manor, West Brighton, Port Richmond, Mariners Harbor, Graniteville, Arlington, Bloomfield and Elm Park

South Shore – Includes data from Annandale, South East Annandale, Arden Heights, Rossville, Woodrow, Huguenot, Princess Bay, Pleasant Plains, Charleston, Richmond Valley and Tottenville

The Hills – Includes data from Emerson Hill, Todt Hill, Lower Todt Hill, Light House Hill, Richmondtown, High Rock, Dongan Hills Colony and Emerson Hill

The Lakes – Includes data from Westerleigh, Sunset Hill, Sunnyside, Royal Oak, Silver Lake, Clove Lakes and Castleton